khatar istiraatiiji ah oo wiiqaysa kaalinteeda gobolka.
1-
DIRAASAD ISTIRAATIJI AH
KHATARTA, CADAWWADDA & FARAGELINTA JAMHUURIYADDA JABUUTI KU WAJAHAN SOMALILAND
HORDHAC:
(Executive Summary).
Jabuuti waxay si isa soo taraysa u aragtaa Somaliland in ay tahay:
khatar dhaqaale:
khatar juqraafi-siyaasadeed.
khatar istiraatiiji ah oo wiiqaysa kaalinteeda gobolka.
Sidaas awgeed, Jabuuti waxay adeegsataa:
Faragelin sirdoon:
Cadaadis dhaqaale
Isbahaysi siyaasadeed (Somalia, Masar)
Isticmaalka kaabeyaasha muhiimka ah (internet,
bangiyo,
dekedo)
CUTUBKA -1-
Jabuuti & Aragtiyadeeda Somaliland (Strategic Perception)
1.1 Somaliland = Tartame Toos ah
Jabuuti uma aragto
Somaliland:
"walaal Soomaaliyeed”
balse waxay u aragtaa dal soo baxaya oo beddeli kara doorkeeda
Gaar ahaan:
Dekedaha
Transit-ka Itoobiya
Kaabeyaasha ganacsiga.
Aqoonsiga Somaliland =
Hoos u dhac dhaqaale oo Jabuuti ah.
CUTUBKA -2-
Jabhadda Hubaysan Gobolka Selel (Saylac)
2.1 Dabeecadda Khatarta
Selel waa:
Gobol xasaasi ah (border + badeed)
Jabhado hubaysan oo halkaas ka dhaqaaqa:
Waxay helaan meel ay ku dhuuntaan
(safe haven) dhulka Jabuuti
Dhaqdhaqaaqooda si buuxda looma joojin.
2.2 Qiimayn Istiraatiiji ah
Jabhaduhu:
Ma aha kuwo awood militari leh
Laakiin waa qalab destabilization ah.
Khatar amni oo heer-hoose ah, balse joogto ah.
CUTUBKA -3-
Cable-ka Internet-ka & Khataraha Amniga Dijitaalka.
3.1 Xaqiiqada Istiraatiijiga ah
Internet-ka Somaliland:
Wuxuu inta badan ka soo galaa Jabuuti
Cable-ku:
Waa asset amni (critical infrastructure)
3.2 Khataraha
Dhegeysi (metadata & traffic analysis)
Joojin ama carqaladayn xilliyo xasaasi ah
La socod:
Isgaadhsiinta ganacsiga
Hay’adaha dawladda:
Khatar amni oo heer qaran ah
CUTUBKA 4-
Sirdoonka Jabuuti ee Ka Shaqeeya Somaliland:
4.1 Hababka Ay Adeegsadaan
Ganacsi & NGO-yo
Xidhiidh siyaasiyiin gaar ah
La socod:
Dhaqdhaqaaqyada aqoonsiga
Xidhiidhada caalamiga ah.
4.2 Ujeeddada
Xakamaynta jihada Somaliland
Helitaanka xog hore
(early warning)
Faragelin sirdoon oo qarsoon,
balse joogto ah.
CUTUBKA 5-
Ku-tiirsanaanta Ganacsatada Somaliland ee Jabuuti.
5.1 Dhibaatada
Ganacsato badan:
Licence-yo Jabuuti
Account-yo bangiyo Jabuuti
5.2 Khataraha
Cadaadis dhaqaale
Xayiraad xisaabeed
Ku-qasbid siyaasad
Dhaqaale ahaan Somaliland waa la "leverage-gareyn karaa”.
CUTUBKA 6-
Passport-ka Jabuuti & Siyaasiyiinta Somaliland
Iyo wadaado iyo siyaasiyiin.
6.1 Sababta Loo Adeegsado
Safar fudud
Visa-free access
6.2 Khatarta
Ku xirnaan sharci
Cadaadis siyaasadeed
Suurtogal:
Blackmail
Influence
Khatar anshax & amni qaran.
CUTUBKA 7-
Berbera vs Dekedaha Jabuuti
7.1 Tartanka Tooska ah
Berbera:
Khatar istiraatiiji ah oo toos ah
Itoobiya:
Si tartiib ah uga wareegaysa Jabuuti.
7.2 Saamaynta
Hoos u dhac dakhliga Jabuuti
Luminta monopoly-ga
Berbera = sababta ugu weyn ee cadaawadda Jabuuti.
CUTUBKA 8-
Isbahaysiga Jabuuti & Soomaaliya
Jabuuti:
Si buuxda u taageerta midnimada Soomaaliya
Waxay la safan tahay:
Muqdisho
Turkiga
Masar
China
Waxaa loo arkaa "project jebinaya nidaamkaas”
Cadaawad siyaasadaysan oo wadajir ah.
CUTUBKA 9-
Masar & Xarunta Basaasidda (Egyptian Intelligence)
9.1 Asalka
Masar:
Xiisad la leh Itoobiya
(Biyaha Nile)
Somaliland:
Xidhiidh la leh Itoobiya.
9.2 Doorka Jabuuti
Jabuuti:
Waxay siisay Masar:
Xarumo
Marin sirdoon
Somaliland = bartilmaameed dadban.
GUNAANAD:
ISTIRAATIJI AH
Heerarka Khatarta:
-Militari: Hoose
-Sirdoon: Sare
-Dhaqaale: Sare
-Dijitaal: Sare
-Siyaasadeed: Aad u Sare- -Jabhado
Jabuuti ma aha dal weerar toos ah qaadi kara, balse waa:
Dal adeegsanaya cadaadis, carqaladayn, iyo faragelin hoose
TALOOYIN ISTIRAATIJI AH (Policy Recommendations)
1-Somaliland:
Ha kala furto internet-ka Jabuuti.
2-Ha dhisto:
Bangiyo & licences gudaha ah
3- Ha xoojiso:
Sirdoonka counter-intelligence.
4- Ha yarayso:
Ku-tiirsanaanta Jabuuti.
Diraasad :
Cali Biixi
HADHWANAAGNEWS 
